Tough-Snuck
Skill vs luck
Tough-Snuck on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 63% (95% range 31%–86%) · profit +$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tough-Snuck: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3f02a8b650d4b30449e83616f2165460209ca51c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tough-Snuck: +$2.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$470
- Sep 17 – Oct 2
- −$2.4K
- Oct 2 – Oct 16
- +$4.1K
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- +$368
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY No @ 98¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | $4.9K |
| Oct 28 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $12K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 96¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $11K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 93¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $4.7K |
| Oct 15 | BUY No @ 75¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $7.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes @ 84¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $8.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes @ 44¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes @ 82¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $8.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.