Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $73K on this market since Oct 26, 98% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fake-Guard
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.1¢ | $51K | — |
| Ugly-Efficacy
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $5.0K | — |
| True-Grandparent
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 89¢ | $3.8K | — |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 87¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Buzzing-Beginner
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 89¢ | $2.3K | — |
| 0xa6e4…369f
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K |
| 0x491f…c959
no settled record |
Yes @ 14¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0xcbab…9a8a
no settled record |
No @ 95¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Athletic-Curiosity
27 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 88¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Lean-Pantyhose
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.8¢ | $1.0K | — |
| Wilted-Clerk-Sunflower
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.35¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$70K98% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $2.0K sold
-
Yes$1.4K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $97K | 22 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $350K | 65 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $72K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | $55K | 9 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $97K | 24 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $184K | 28 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $77K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $361K | 31 | Open |