Rare-Azimuth

0x4868c31e81040e002b41984842b84bae8923a1c1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rare-Azimuth: −$3.8K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.8K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$3.8K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$3.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY No @ 57¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? $1.7K
Oct 8 BUY No @ 85¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $2.2K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 65¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 74¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $2.3K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 76¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.5K
Sep 27 BUY No @ 82¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed