White-Helium-Call
Skill vs luck
White-Helium-Call on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$60. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “White-Helium-Call: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x72487021e3339827c476592585c15ae7f0fa7e72. Data CC BY 4.0.
White-Helium-Call: −$60 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$60
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | $1.4K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Yes @ 70¢ | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY No @ 99.8¢ | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 21 | BUY No @ 79¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $1.3K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?