Novel-Chitchat
0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338
Novel-Chitchat: +$32 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$32
return +0.2%
Settled bets
3
$14K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$17
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$15
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 99.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.9K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | $7.3K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 99.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.