Zigzag-Complexity
0x915a0caaf0b6d518e751d9c461a8d2da0671b23c
Zigzag-Complexity: +$108 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$108
return +0.2%
Settled bets
6
$71K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$9
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$62
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$38
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $23K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 99.78¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? |
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | $5.6K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? |
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | $1.4K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $23K |
| Sep 8 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | $16K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 99.57¢
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election? |
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election? | $2.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.