Agile-Toffee
0x505392819f96f3ab8de6f57da887b21724fc19de
Agile-Toffee: +$14K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$14K
return +5.2%
Settled bets
6
$277K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $173K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? |
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? | $5.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? |
Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | $3.4K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? |
Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | $1.3K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $27K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $66K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.