Junior-Tophat-Upward

0x1058f156b207cafe61d102e97bf6796931d301c1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Junior-Tophat-Upward: +$4.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.3K
return +10.2%
Settled bets
2
$42K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$463
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$3.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 53¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $4.3K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 99¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $38K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed