Forsaken-Outhouse
0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Forsaken-Outhouse: +$984 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$984
return +7.2%
Settled bets
4
$14K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$979
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$30
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$35
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $5.0K |
| Sep 15 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Sep 15 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $10K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $2.3K |
| Sep 6 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $5.2K |
| Sep 2 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $4.9K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? |
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | $10K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $4.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.