Shocked-Anagram

0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Shocked-Anagram: +$1.4K on 37 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 91%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$1.4K
return +0.2%
Settled bets
37
$810K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 91%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 37 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$260
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$809
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$308
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? $5.0K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $16K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? $20K
Sep 28 BUY No @ 99.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? $5.0K
Sep 27 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? $4.1K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Trump out as President by September 30?
Trump out as President by September 30? $5.0K
Sep 26 BUY Pittsburgh @ 99.9¢
Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh
Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh $19K
Sep 26 BUY Pittsburgh @ 99.9¢
Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh
Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh $99K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed