Polymarket market · Other
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
22 whales traded $70K on this market since Sep 30, 87% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 71% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 87% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$16K and 1 lost −$7.9K: +$8.0K between them. Biggest win: Opulent-Right, +$5.8K on Yes. Biggest loss: Flat-Badger, −$7.9K on Yes.
The whales on this market
22 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat-Badger
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.28¢ | $18K | — | −$7.9K |
| Opulent-Right
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 65¢ | $11K | — | +$5.8K |
| Indelible-Try
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 65¢ | $6.5K | — | +$3.5K |
| Golden-Unemployment
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 83¢ | $6.2K | — | +$1.3K |
| Frivolous-Fiction
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 94¢ | $2.8K | — | +$188 |
| Self-Assured-Tenor
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $2.3K | — | +$53 |
| Enraged-Schnitzel
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 67¢ | $2.2K | — | +$1.1K |
| Light-Hygienic
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Fearless-Misnomer
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 80¢ | $1.9K | — | +$484 |
| Unique-Primary
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $1.8K | — | +$198 |
| Watchful-Bassoon
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 64¢ | $1.6K | — | +$909 |
| Conscious-Belligerency
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Foolhardy-Native-Youth
18 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 84¢ | $1.4K | — | +$253 |
| Cheery-Comedy
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.3K | — | +$610 |
| Careful-Bunch
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Bossy-Outfit-Doc
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Optimal-Miss
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 68¢ | $1.2K | — | +$569 |
| Ragged-Thongs
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Accurate-Spirit
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $1.2K | — | +$177 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,368 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Palatable-Avalanche
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 70¢ | $1.0K | — | +$437 |
| Automatic-Jar
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 72¢ | $1.0K | — | +$389 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$53K87% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $8.3K sold
-
Yes lost$8.0K13% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $273K | 38 | Won: FURIA | |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) | $54K | 12 | Won: Nemiga | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | $144K | 19 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner | $145K | 21 | Won: FURIA | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | $70K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | $88K | 15 | Won: Nemiga | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | $71K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31? | $119K | 15 | Won: Yes |