Flat-Badger
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397
Flat-Badger: −$1.7K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 70%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.7K
return −2.2%
Settled bets
15
$77K staked
Won
93.3%
95% range 70%–99%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$68
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$505
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $2.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? |
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | $1.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 99.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $9.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? |
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? | $2.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 99.08¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? |
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | $11K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Joshua Van
@ 98¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) |
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.