Cheery-Comedy
Skill vs luck
Cheery-Comedy on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$3.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cheery-Comedy: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf29dbb8a92efb21e55094f0892a0a5d28b8fadd3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cheery-Comedy: +$3.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$3.2K
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$352
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 85¢ | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Nov 1 | SELL No @ 70¢ | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Nov 1 | SELL No @ 61¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 46¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY No @ 72¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No @ 74¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Yes @ 70¢ | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes @ 69¢ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.