Bossy-Outfit-Doc
Skill vs luck
Bossy-Outfit-Doc on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$179. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Bossy-Outfit-Doc: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf0d667faf372cae76318981e4efd0fb24f78fff1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Bossy-Outfit-Doc: +$179 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$179
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY No @ 97¢ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes @ 98¢ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 93¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.