Enraged-Schnitzel
Skill vs luck
Enraged-Schnitzel on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 65%–100%) · profit +$3.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Enraged-Schnitzel: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xfb1b4e2db61efb47bfb1ac92807c76d4f367a11d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Enraged-Schnitzel: +$3.4K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$1.4K
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$319
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- +$1.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | $2.2K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes @ 67¢ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | $3.9K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? |
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.