Accurate-Spirit
0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826
Accurate-Spirit: +$11K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$11K
return +21.5%
Settled bets
6
$50K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$9.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 63¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 76¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $2.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $6.6K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Yes
@ 79¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $6.8K |
| Sep 8 | BUY No
@ 85¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $29K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.