Indelible-Try

0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Indelible-Try: +$8.9K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 74% (95% range 58%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$8.9K
return +6.2%
Settled bets
38
$144K staked
Won
73.7%
95% range 58%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 38 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$7.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $7.0K
bought Under @ 50¢ → now 50¢ (−$70)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Ducks @ 68¢
Ducks vs. Flames
Ducks vs. Flames $6.8K
Oct 10 BUY Wyoming @ 58¢
Wyoming vs. San Jose State
Wyoming vs. San Jose State $1.9K
Oct 9 BUY Washington @ 59¢
Iowa vs. Washington
Iowa vs. Washington $3.0K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $3.5K
Oct 9 BUY Golden Knights @ 59¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights $2.1K
Oct 8 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 52¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $3.1K
Oct 8 BUY Sabres @ 48¢
Stars vs. Sabres
Stars vs. Sabres $2.9K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 99¢
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed