Polymarket market · Other

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $67K on this market since Sep 28, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
BUY $39K
bought No @ 99.8¢ → now 99.7¢ (−$39)
Impassioned-Watch · 16 settled bets · +$1.6K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Impassioned-Watch
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.76¢ $43K —
Closed-Barracks
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $6.7K —
0x0010…eb26
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $5.6K —
0x2c79…e0aa
no settled record
No @ 97¢ $4.9K —
Scented-Eyelids
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $2.8K —
Wilted-Bump
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.4K
0xef97…ab2c
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $65K
    100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $2.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 28 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed