Watchful-Bassoon
0x0562e01b3c3e65bb93bf0de32f02cec238a79d66
Watchful-Bassoon: +$588 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$588
return +8.1%
Settled bets
6
$7.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$813
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY No
@ 55¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 66¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 74¢
Trump renames AI by September 30? |
Trump renames AI by September 30? | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | $2.2K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 80¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | $1.1K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | $1.3K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.