Pastel-Method
0x606d65fca4f80b75926c106d0ac8d3ce90bf1aaf
Pastel-Method: −$1.0K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.0K
return −4.4%
Settled bets
10
$23K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$407
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$8.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$7.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 67¢
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09? | $5.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $4.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Up
@ 99.63¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Up
@ 53¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Up
@ 85¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET | $1.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Up
@ 74¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.