Deserted-Mess
0x744f8944ccd4ad2ee1184b58da985f25d27ff173
Deserted-Mess: +$3.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.4K
return +30.7%
Settled bets
5
$11K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$1.6K
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$1.8K
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- +$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes
@ 28¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | $2.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes
@ 22¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? |
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | $1.9K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Under
@ 41¢
Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 |
Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $3.8K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29? |
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29? | $1.6K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.