Black-And-White-Summit

0x2ada299aaaf27c806424ec6dcb0c169d1a9c2f28

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-And-White-Summit: −$2.3K on 70 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 97% (95% range 90%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$2.3K
return −0.6%
Settled bets
70
$384K staked
Won
97.1%
95% range 90%–99%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 70 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$3.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$703
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$945
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Wyoming @ 99.9¢
Wyoming vs. San Jose State
Wyoming vs. San Jose State $2.3K
Oct 9 BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 99.83¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $1.9K
Oct 9 BUY South Alabama @ 99.89¢
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY New York Yankees @ 99¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees $72K
Oct 1 BUY New York Yankees @ 99¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees $2.3K
Sep 27 BUY Washington Nationals @ 99.9¢
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals $8.0K
Sep 27 BUY Bills @ 99¢
Chargers vs. Bills
Chargers vs. Bills $2.8K
Sep 27 BUY Sharks @ 99.82¢
Sharks vs. Golden Knights
Sharks vs. Golden Knights $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed