Perfect-Purchase
0x3e9f9ef866c4f864a1e8e4cc386b948e7eb63988
Perfect-Purchase: −$3.5K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 91% (95% range 77%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −4.1%
Settled bets
34
$86K staked
Won
91.2%
95% range 77%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$478
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 98¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cake Team
@ 86¢
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs |
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Sep 25 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 98¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 98¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 98¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 98¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 98¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Under
@ 96¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.