Misguided-Sock
0x8bb006d1bb8b1c5735da79e81637e3dad6e3ca79
Misguided-Sock: −$1.0K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.0K
return −7.0%
Settled bets
9
$15K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$437
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Broncos
@ 49¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) |
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Saints
@ 52¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $2.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 45¢
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays |
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 45.5 |
Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 45.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 50¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5 |
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.