Whole-Leading
0x71ac3cbb40647cb6da6fa0dc2923999ad9c4d2b1
Whole-Leading: −$21K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$21K
return −15.9%
Settled bets
11
$132K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$21K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$367
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | $10K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | $27K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | $25K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | $15K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | $10K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08? | $10K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? | $10K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? |
Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.