Concrete-Good-Absence

0x5f74816a1e9a10bba71817dd6ffc4f9acd06d6ae

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Concrete-Good-Absence: −$432 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$432
return −26.8%
Settled bets
5
$1.6K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 16
−$432
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 SELL Julian Cundom @ 90¢
M15 Maringa: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Julian Cundom
M15 Maringa: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Julian Cundom $1.1K
Oct 14 SELL Yes @ 79¢ Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? ↗ $2.0K
Oct 14 BUY Over @ 88¢
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 $1.6K
Oct 14 SELL Yuki Naito @ 99.9¢
W50 Quebec City: Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito
W50 Quebec City: Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito $1.3K
Oct 14 SELL Ariana Arseneault @ 99.9¢
W50 Quebec City: Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte
W50 Quebec City: Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte $1.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed