Other-Laboratory

0xbbd9de1ad99315ebb306572f62d5825a4477de31

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Other-Laboratory: +$343 on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 31%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$343
return +0.4%
Settled bets
32
$80K staked
Won
46.9%
95% range 31%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$8.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$10K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY PARIVISION @ 76¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $2.3K
Oct 9 SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $3.3K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 61¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $2.0K
Oct 9 BUY Team Spirit @ 69¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.9K
Oct 8 SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $3.7K
Sep 25 BUY 1win @ 72¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $2.2K
Sep 25 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $4.2K
Sep 25 BUY Natus Vincere @ 72¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed