Expensive-Cloudburst-Sundae

0xe5c6bae468df33d5e1bf03c274c3998e698d7c8d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Expensive-Cloudburst-Sundae: +$1.5K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.5K
return +51.5%
Settled bets
1
$2.9K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL Daniil Glinka @ 57¢
Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin
Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin $3.2K
Oct 6 SELL Massimo Giunta @ 85¢
Palermo: Pierluigi Basile vs Massimo Giunta
Palermo: Pierluigi Basile vs Massimo Giunta $3.0K
Oct 5 BUY Zsombor Piros @ 66¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Tristan Boyer
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Tristan Boyer $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $1.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed