Few-Poppy

0xa684e6a0913bd5f9d038d012e27e95f20c35a33f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Few-Poppy: +$129 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$129
return +3.5%
Settled bets
1
$3.7K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$129
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $2.6K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $2.0K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 92¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House $20K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $9.4K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 85¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? $4.3K
Aug 23 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $3.7K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed