Powerful-Election
0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
Powerful-Election: +$4.3K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 79% (95% range 57%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.3K
return +1.0%
Settled bets
19
$432K staked
Won
78.9%
95% range 57%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$15K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $2.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 67¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $79K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $4.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | $6.2K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 99.7¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $7.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $7.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $16K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.