Meek-Shore-Armchair

0xaff4dcf2845f89f381c3e65ee348526b7c1fde3c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Meek-Shore-Armchair: +$571 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$571
return +7.4%
Settled bets
2
$7.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$571
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY No @ 94¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $5.3K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026? $7.7K
Sep 15 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? $7.7K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed