Steep-Visa
0xd3ecb2aee0d65622da559ff356b00e8c2e626603
Steep-Visa: +$570 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$570
return +12.0%
Settled bets
5
$4.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$629
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$60
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $4.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $8.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL No
@ 99.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | $4.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 94¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $2.8K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $18K |
| Sep 10 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.