0x2e0b…8070

0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x2e0b…8070: −$992 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$992
return −1.4%
Settled bets
4
$71K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$671
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$14
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 25 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? $1.7K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 99.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? $3.4K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 92¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $13K
Aug 31 BUY No @ 99¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? $46K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 99.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? $11K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 98¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? $9.6K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 87¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $16K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed