Polymarket market · Sports

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Resolved: Miami Marlins won · See it on Polymarket ↗

33 whales put $147K into this market since Sep 22, 50% of their buying on Miami Marlins. Miami Marlins won. Of the 30 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$94K and 15 lost −$60K: +$33K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 33
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Chicago Cubs @ 58¢ $24K — −$14K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 35¢ $21K — +$40K
Minor-Holder
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 40¢ $12K — +$18K
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 43¢ $4.1K $7.1K +$5.5K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 82¢ $8.5K — −$8.5K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Chicago Cubs @ 59¢ $8.2K — −$8.2K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 66¢ $6.6K — −$6.6K
Rusty-Reminder
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 58¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
Miami Marlins @ 53¢ $3.8K — +$3.3K
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 33¢ $3.3K — +$6.7K
Exhausted-Frosting
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 65¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 65¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Our-Dough
3 settled bets Too few bets
Miami Marlins @ 90¢ $2.7K — +$300
Ugly-Laboratory
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 30¢ $2.7K — +$6.3K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 35¢ $2.5K — +$1.7K
0xb3ba…f84e
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 99.89¢ $2.5K — +$3
Black-Encirclement
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Substantial-Timber
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Improbable-Injunction-Carpet
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 63¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Generous-Burning
213 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 61¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Vibrant-Kind
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 99.9¢ $1.7K — +$2
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 81¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miami Marlins @ 38¢ $1.6K — +$2.6K
Stale-Glue
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 59¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Miami Marlins won
    $67K
    50% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Chicago Cubs lost
    $59K
    44% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $2.5K sold
  3. Chicago Cubs lost
    $8.0K
    6% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Sep 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed