Black-Encirclement
0x7b88161f737e26b60bc86a3adf9089aaf1285d08
Black-Encirclement: +$6.4K on 28 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 33%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.4K
return +10.2%
Settled bets
28
$63K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 33%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$38
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$5.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Cowboys
@ 65¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $3.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Over
@ 64¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5 |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Troy
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Troy (-8.5) |
Spread: Troy (-8.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Panthers
@ 54¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 42¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Panthers
@ 56¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Panthers
@ 51¢
Spread: Lions (-4.5) |
Spread: Lions (-4.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 61¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.