Our-Dough

0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Our-Dough: +$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.8K
return +15.0%
Settled bets
4
$12K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$3.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.6K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$700
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 52¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? $3.4K
Oct 7 BUY San Diego Padres @ 86¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres $4.3K
Sep 23 BUY Miami Marlins @ 90¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs $2.7K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 83¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? $1.8K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 40¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House $1.1K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 24¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.3K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 77¢
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? $1.4K
Aug 26 BUY Chicago Cubs @ 87¢
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed