Polymarket market · Sports

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

Resolved: Arizona Diamondbacks won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $188K into this market since Sep 8, 51% of their buying on Kansas City Royals. Arizona Diamondbacks won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$60K and 11 lost −$76K: −$16K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 47¢ $27K — −$27K
Prickly-Hype
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 48¢ $24K — −$24K
Flippant-Section
55 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 41¢ $1.4K $20K —
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 71¢ $14K — +$5.8K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
89 settled bets Worse than the odds
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 55¢ $14K — +$11K
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 42¢ $10K — +$14K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kansas City Royals @ 38¢ $9.3K — −$9.3K
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 79¢ $5.0K $2.9K —
Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 46¢ $7.5K — +$8.8K
Standard-Tarragon
120 settled bets Worse than the odds
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 82¢ $7.5K — −$2.1K
Dependable-Waterfront
389 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kansas City Royals @ 46¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Cultivated-Biplane
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 56¢ $5.8K — +$4.6K
Illiterate-Counterforce
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 48¢ $4.9K — +$5.4K
Slow-Shovel
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 80¢ $2.3K $2.3K −$29
0x16bb…8492
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 52¢ $3.9K — +$3.6K
Sympathetic-Back
35 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 62¢ $3.3K — +$2.1K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Kansas City Royals @ 44¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Mean-Recruit-Idea
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 93¢ $1.8K — +$134
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 48¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 46¢ $1.5K — +$1.8K
Imaginary-Gallery
244 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 56¢ $1.3K — +$1.0K
Pitiful-Roster-Modernist
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 47¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Slow-Membrane
1 settled bets Too few bets
Kansas City Royals @ 47¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Kansas City Royals lost
    $82K
    51% of whale buying · 11 buyers
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks won
    $79K
    49% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $27K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Sep 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed