Cultivated-Biplane
0xdf601027765a27703be9ba22a9894e40c15708c7
Cultivated-Biplane: −$4.4K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 46%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.4K
return −2.2%
Settled bets
26
$202K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 46%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$33K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$30K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $4.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 64¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $9.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Vikings
@ 45¢
Vikings vs. Buccaneers |
Vikings vs. Buccaneers | $3.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Stanford
@ 39¢
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford |
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | $3.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Falcons
@ 70¢
Falcons vs. Packers |
Falcons vs. Packers | $7.4K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Falcons
@ 52¢
Falcons vs. Packers |
Falcons vs. Packers | $9.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Cardinals
@ 41¢
Seahawks vs. Cardinals |
Seahawks vs. Cardinals | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Broncos
@ 50¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $7.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.