Standard-Tarragon
0x689f7d0a49d2646dc199848ffbdb4757242e259c
Standard-Tarragon: −$123K on 115 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 37% (95% range 29%–47%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$123K
return −36.9%
Settled bets
115
$333K staked
Won
37.4%
95% range 29%–47%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 109 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$10K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$92K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$21K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | $5.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 50¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 80¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $3.7K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 80¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $9.2K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 99.9¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $11K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 99.9¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $3.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Broncos
@ 40¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $6.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Eagles
@ 43¢
Rams vs. Eagles |
Rams vs. Eagles | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.