Pitiful-Roster-Modernist
0x98e1d7e6bca91c3d80c452dac59bc40f58863241
Pitiful-Roster-Modernist: −$20K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 19%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$20K
return −32.8%
Settled bets
38
$62K staked
Won
31.6%
95% range 19%–48%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$16K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Golden Knights
@ 99.9¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights |
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 32¢
Sharks vs. Blues AND Avalanche vs. Flames |
Sharks vs. Blues AND Avalanche vs. Flames | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Edinburgh Castle Rockers
@ 27¢
European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Belfast Wolves |
European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Belfast Wolves | $3.4K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $3.6K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 54¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY
@ 7¢
Carlisle United FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score AND Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score AND Harrogate Town AFC vs. AFC Fylde: Both Teams to Score AND Worthing FC vs. Hornchurch FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Yeovil Town FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Sutton United FC win on 2026-09-15? |
Carlisle United FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score AND Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score AND Harrogate Town AFC vs. AFC Fylde: Both Teams to Score AND Worthing FC vs. Hornchurch FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Yeovil Town FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Sutton United FC win on 2026-09-15? | $1.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Eva Vedder
@ 10¢
Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder |
Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder | $2.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Kia Tigers
@ 54¢
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG Landers |
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG Landers | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.