0xad69…92fd
Skill vs luck
0xad69…92fd on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$528. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xad69…92fd: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xad69f576e539adf30c3fe99d2829ba8aee0f92fd. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xad69…92fd: −$528 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$528
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY No @ 79¢ | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-12? |
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-12? | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Yes
@ 18¢
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?