Quick-Witted-Touch-Die
Skill vs luck
Quick-Witted-Touch-Die on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 17% (95% range 3%–56%) · profit −$996. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Quick-Witted-Touch-Die: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2320f3ac1db8dc31791af2c92d476b2031e5e996. Data CC BY 4.0.
Quick-Witted-Touch-Die: −$996 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$996
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 90¢ | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 13 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? |
Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | $1.3K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-13? |
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-13? | $1.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?