Beautiful-Frosting
0x111d276fb4fbcc1d913ae24df58dfbc5499a21ba
Beautiful-Frosting: −$1.0K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 32%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.0K
return −2.8%
Settled bets
19
$36K staked
Won
52.6%
95% range 32%–73%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.7K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$370
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$342
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Lin Zhu
@ 64¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu |
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | $2.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 38¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $1.9K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Billy Harris
@ 39¢
St. Tropez: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris |
St. Tropez: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Broncos
@ 51¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $2.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY New York Mets
@ 55¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | $2.6K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Iva Jovic
@ 49¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Laura Pigossi
@ 52¢
Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi |
Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.