Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $127K into this market since Sep 11, 72% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$81K and 7 lost −$31K: +$50K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 45¢ $27K — +$33K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $15K — −$11K
Dishonest-Association
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $13K — +$16K
Soupy-Champagne-Invitation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $9.7K — +$12K
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Crowded-Jackal
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $5.0K — +$5.9K
Impure-Roundabout
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $4.9K — +$316
Striking-Mind
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 56¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $4.1K — +$5.2K
Skeletal-Defeat
38 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.9K —
0xc3ed…9f79
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Wrong-Promotion
70 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $3.0K — +$2.6K
Steep-Tummy
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 83¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $2.8K — +$146
Cute-Product
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Bony-Storyboard
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $2.2K — +$1.8K
Hurtful-Nonconformist
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Physical-Enjoyment
41 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Lumpy-Fries
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $1.7K — +$2.1K
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Noted-Interpreter-Longitude
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 51¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $1.4K — +$1.8K
Foolish-Mango
227 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 22¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $78K
    72% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $16K sold
  2. No lost
    $31K
    28% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11 to Sep 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed