Lumpy-Fries

0xa8b9d28f2846f087c4855ff4ad20de5e7f98775d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Lumpy-Fries: +$2.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.1K
return +65.0%
Settled bets
2
$3.2K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 45¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? $1.7K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? $1.5K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed