Soupy-Champagne-Invitation

0x6f6589b77c36b94c2a1304dfd40f44310725172c

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$4.3K
return +1.9%
Settled bets
36
$222K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 30%–60%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 35 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$3.2K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$13K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$5.8K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 Bought Yes at 27¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? $13K
Sep 20 Bought Yes at 44¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? $6.0K
Sep 19 Bought Yes at 55¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? $9.8K
Sep 19 Bought Arsenal FC at 33¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) $6.4K
Sep 18 Bought Detroit Tigers at 46¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox $7.8K
Sep 18 Bought Tampa Bay Rays at 56¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays $7.8K
Sep 18 Bought Baltimore Orioles at 42¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles $6.9K
Sep 18 Bought Yes at 36¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? $8.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed