Hurtful-Nonconformist
0xf6f2dc0dc941ee5440a017b03b8f1a37de6fb422
Hurtful-Nonconformist: +$5.9K on 53 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 49% (95% range 36%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$5.9K
return +8.4%
Settled bets
53
$70K staked
Won
49.1%
95% range 36%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$206
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL
@ 99.71¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $3.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY
@ 43¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY
@ 24¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY G2
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY G2 Esports
@ 53¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.