Bony-Storyboard

0xf13dd60c30d95129690fc58e8e3784110167afc3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Bony-Storyboard: −$3.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.6K
return −59.6%
Settled bets
9
$6.0K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Croatia vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Croatia vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $1.5K
Oct 6 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Croatia leading at halftime?
Croatia leading at halftime? $1.5K
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will France win on 2026-10-05?
Will France win on 2026-10-05? $6.0K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? $3.5K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Draw at halftime?
Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: Draw at halftime? $1.5K
Sep 25 BUY Yes @ 57¢
France leading at halftime?
France leading at halftime? $1.5K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 53¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? $1.0K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed