Skeletal-Defeat

0xe8e086f7ef06af27889edfb5026e1453c61d7eec

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Skeletal-Defeat: −$84 on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–9%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$84
return —
Settled bets
38
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–9%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$40
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$39
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$4
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 SELL Indiana Fever @ 99.9¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever $1.3K
Sep 27 SELL Cloud9 @ 99.9¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Sep 24 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? $2.0K
Sep 20 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.1K
Sep 18 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? $2.0K
Sep 18 SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $2.7K
Sep 15 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed