Polymarket market · Sports
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales traded $141K on this market since Oct 28, 56% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 44% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$35K and 17 lost −$57K: −$22K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Revenue, +$13K on No. Biggest loss: Creative-Midwife, −$17K on Yes.
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 63¢ | $20K | — | +$12K |
| Grateful-Chest
329 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $13K | $5.8K | — |
| Creative-Midwife
216 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 57¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 48¢ | $12K | — | +$13K |
| 0x0f34…7684
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 33¢ | $8.7K | — | −$8.7K |
| Substantial-Service
1,166 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 62¢ | $7.2K | — | −$544 |
| Embarrassed-Expectation
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 56¢ | $6.8K | — | −$6.8K |
| Excellent-Figure
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 43¢ | $6.7K | — | +$8.8K |
| Straight-Gift
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 60¢ | $4.3K | $2.4K | −$1.4K |
| Fake-Suet
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $2.5K | $2.4K | −$72 |
| Heartfelt-Discipline
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Spiteful-Banquette-Seal
118 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 46¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Accurate-Hull
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 56¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 77¢ | $2.8K | — | +$830 |
| Superior-Artificer-Heifer
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Shady-Carol
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Made-Up-Remnant
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 57¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Stable-Buck-Expectation
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 86¢ | $1.5K | — | +$248 |
| Oddball-Province
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 59¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Rapid-Climate
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Crowded-Jackal
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 32¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$70K56% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $13K sold
-
No won$56K44% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? | $61K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | $79K | 8 | Won: Under | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | $71K | 6 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31? | $99K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | $66K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz | $165K | 16 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino | $68K | 13 | Won: Nuno Borges | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $251K | 13 | Won: Jiri Lehecka |